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Endorsements for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
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Endorsements for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
This is a list of notable political endorsements for declared candidates for the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. Endorsements are part of the "invisible primary" process, which occurs not only long before the general election in November 2016, but also largely occurs before even the caucuses and primaries have begun in February 2016; besides endorsements (from politicians/commentators/activists/staffers/celebrities), other key aspects of the invisible primaries include early polling especially in swing states), fundraising (including super PACs), messaging (books, interviews, etc. as well as debates which as of 2015 are often linked to national polling averages), and a demonstrated record of helping other Republican candidates succeed in the past.
When explaining the degree of success a presidential candidate achieves in the caucuses and primaries, during the elections of 1980 through 2004, early endorsements were the most important cause.[1][2] (See the UCLA School of Political Parties.) The value of political endorsements varies, depending on whom they are from, when the are given, and other factors. Especially crucial are endorsements from politicians who live in the chronologically-earlier states during the 2016 caucuses and primaries.[3] Particularly valuable are endorsements from governors, federal senators, and federal representatives.[4] Endorsements given by a person (or group) from the candidate's home state are usually less valuable, unless multiple candidates from that state are running.[4] Historically, there is a correlation ("76% of the eventual vote percentage"[4]) between the percentage of political endorsements from sitting and former elected officials earned by a Republican candidate in the first half of the year prior to a presidential election (for purposes of this article January 1, 2015 through June 30, 2015), with the percentage of votes cast for that candidate in the Republican primaries during the first half of the election year (for purposes of this article January 1, 2016 through June 30, 2016). The impact of celebrity endorsements of political candidates is less clear, and somewhat controversial,[5] but in some cases can increase general election turnout,[5] or increase fundraising totals and media exposure.[6]
Unless otherwise stated, all individuals/groups listed below as giving endorsements, are members of (or supporters of) the Republican Party.
When explaining the degree of success a presidential candidate achieves in the caucuses and primaries, during the elections of 1980 through 2004, early endorsements were the most important cause.[1][2] (See the UCLA School of Political Parties.) The value of political endorsements varies, depending on whom they are from, when the are given, and other factors. Especially crucial are endorsements from politicians who live in the chronologically-earlier states during the 2016 caucuses and primaries.[3] Particularly valuable are endorsements from governors, federal senators, and federal representatives.[4] Endorsements given by a person (or group) from the candidate's home state are usually less valuable, unless multiple candidates from that state are running.[4] Historically, there is a correlation ("76% of the eventual vote percentage"[4]) between the percentage of political endorsements from sitting and former elected officials earned by a Republican candidate in the first half of the year prior to a presidential election (for purposes of this article January 1, 2015 through June 30, 2015), with the percentage of votes cast for that candidate in the Republican primaries during the first half of the election year (for purposes of this article January 1, 2016 through June 30, 2016). The impact of celebrity endorsements of political candidates is less clear, and somewhat controversial,[5] but in some cases can increase general election turnout,[5] or increase fundraising totals and media exposure.[6]
Contents
- 1 Jeb Bush
- 2 Ben Carson
- 3 Chris Christie
- 4 Ted Cruz
- 5 Carly Fiorina
- 6 Lindsey Graham
- 7 Mike Huckabee
- 8 Bobby Jindal
- 9 John Kasich
- 10 George Pataki
- 11 Rand Paul
- 12 Rick Perry
- 13 Marco Rubio
- 14 Rick Santorum
- 15 Donald Trump
- 16 Scott Walker
- 17 References
Unless otherwise stated, all individuals/groups listed below as giving endorsements, are members of (or supporters of) the Republican Party.
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